Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1273.474500 1452.539985 1653.230094 1895.849916 2182.571493 2512.273872 2922.472140
2025-07-27 1007.607893 1242.621404 1532.301112 1919.962565 2431.773382 3093.781960 4030.440055
2025-08-03 862.874486 1118.143768 1452.640149 1931.417199 2613.119891 3571.011252 5059.837794
2025-08-10 779.272827 1051.374637 1426.342236 1994.256550 2857.101819 4161.270214 6368.731026
2025-08-17 712.609848 994.506109 1399.874771 2044.445181 3081.149375 4754.036911 7817.031098
2025-08-24 654.306168 940.009549 1366.257253 2073.587311 3270.539588 5320.483039 9359.277224
2025-08-31 603.355279 889.162636 1329.665435 2089.143868 3435.130070 5870.929806 11015.100863
2025-09-07 565.716031 853.786121 1311.582579 2130.168763 3647.176870 6545.326530 13108.713039
2025-09-14 512.915793 788.428833 1236.776982 2061.663618 3645.431409 6805.962085 14386.214432
2025-09-21 468.048037 731.519818 1169.630681 1997.081611 3638.854393 7052.311873 15701.716569
2025-09-28 427.264260 677.671716 1102.122866 1922.811183 3600.294668 7221.451377 16878.996978
2025-10-05 413.933235 669.137862 1112.638894 1996.956112 3877.116896 8145.767645 20356.915608
2025-10-12 393.414526 646.909604 1097.445510 2021.289569 4058.004521 8905.242743 23731.784708
2025-10-19 374.340666 625.663013 1082.074366 2043.692773 4240.330692 9718.901985 27655.793797
2025-10-26 355.951992 603.949685 1063.418758 2056.341469 4401.914561 10520.629252 31933.076138
2025-11-02 345.514031 595.935664 1070.164386 2124.089804 4708.853713 11803.520067 38624.581064
2025-11-09 334.311323 585.445702 1070.814867 2178.244686 4992.647969 13106.211115 46211.689213
2025-11-16 321.647449 571.056548 1062.084323 2209.697920 5223.767886 14322.224961 54269.366660
2025-11-23 308.578885 554.813455 1047.931123 2226.491114 5418.939264 15487.489687 62964.851377
2025-11-30 298.915618 544.557056 1045.345357 2270.786473 5701.185248 17044.227262 74922.972908
2025-12-07 280.037488 514.341904 997.346803 2196.827730 5624.915493 17307.737258 80065.004879
2025-12-14 262.982544 486.765089 952.969119 2127.139385 5550.413881 17563.318335 85446.017969
2025-12-21 246.378262 459.119845 906.430411 2047.039638 5431.546951 17622.367202 89741.605111